Finally Monsoon to Arrive in Kerala on June 3
15 May 2013
New Delhi
Indian Meteorological Department have announced that Kerala will be seeing monsoon on June 3 this year . The onset forecast has an error margin of four days, IMD said in a statement. The normal onset of monsoon over the Kerala coast is around June 1. However, last year, monsoon rains had hit the Kerala coast four days after June 1 onset forecast.
However, this year, under the influence of tropical cyclone Mahasen, currently located over the central Bay of Bengal, monsoon may advance over the Andaman Sea slightly earlier than the normal date.IMD has predicted that monsoon is most likely to be normal. Quantitatively, the average rainfall is expected to be 98 per cent of the normal long period average (LPA) of 89 cm during the four-month season starting June 1 to September 30.
In fact, last year, monsoon was below normal at 92 per cent of LPA at 81.9 cm, though the forecast was 99 per cent. The IMD is expected to gather data till May-end before making the region-wise prediction some time in early June. However, the Sascof forecast had also pointed out that areas in South India, including entire Kerala, most of Tamil Nadu and South Interior Karnataka would witness deficient rains this monsoon.
Source– http://newindianexpress.com/cities/kochi/MBA-course-in-KAU/2013/05/15/article1590206.ece
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