Monsoon May Arrive Early in Kerala

Published on: 22 May, 2013
Published under: Kerala Weather News

21 May 2013

Rainfall related to the onset of monsoon has been forecast for the Kerala coast from Friday/Saturday, according to a US-based forecasting agency. Climate Forecasting System of the US National Centres for Environmental Prediction made this forecast in its latest assessment of conditions evolving in the Arabian Sea. India Met Department has already said that the onset of seasonal rains is likely to happen on June 3 with an error margin of four days to either side.

“India Met Department is forecasting onset of Southwest monsoon onset over Kerala coast around June 3rd, even though our model is predicting onset-related rainfall conditions around June 24-25,” the agency said. Monsoon is likely to break over the Kerala coast by Monday/Tuesday (May 27/28), according to a former honcho of the Met Department, who did not wish to be identified.

But the current build-up over Southeast Arabian Sea might just spring a surprise on the upside, as per the US agency forecast. Heat wave conditions are peaking over Northwest and adjoining Central India with a ‘tongue of flame’ extending right into East India.


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